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Europe in the Interregnum: our geopolitical awakening after Ukraine (EEAS, 24.03.2022).
Halfway through the mandate: what can we do differently and better? |
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| The EU’s geopolitical awakening and the Legal Implications |
The EU's "Geopolitical Awakening": Beyond Trade and Defence
Explored were the challenges and opportunities posed by the EU's growing role as a geopolitical actor in the wake of the war in Ukraine. Participants discussed how the EU can balance its commitment to multilateralism and international law with its need for strategic autonomy in a complex and uncertain global environment. The war against Ukraine has forced a radical rethinking of the EU’s role as a geopolitical actor. As High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell put it, we are witnessing the “belated birth of a geopolitical EU”. This brings to the fore already existing security concerns with a renewed sense of urgency. These are not merely framed in military terms and are not limited to Ukraine. Hybrid warfare including cyberattacks and disinformation, energy dependency, the instrumentalisation of migrants, the retreat of democratic freedoms, foreign intervention campaigns, and geo-economic competition are but a few examples of the various threats facing the EU and its Member States in the current global landscape. As a result, legal and policy debates on the EU’s role as a global actor focus on the need to achieve ‘strategic autonomy’ - a term connoting the ability of the Union to act independently on the international stage to safeguard its fundamental values, interests, independence and security – while also remaining committed to a rules-based global order. |
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Moreover, the purported “geopolitical turn” has already resulted in a host of new legal instruments at EU level, such as the Anti-coercion instrument, the European Chips Act, and regulations on joint military procurement.
The awakening of a geopolitical EU thus raises a host of new politico-legal questions that remain underexplored despite their increasing significance. These developments create a demand for innovative legal scholarship regarding, for instance, decision-making procedures, institutional balance, effectiveness, transparency, access to justice, and compatibility with international law. Some of the questions these developments raise and whichwere addressed during the discussion, are:
This roundtable discussion is a part of T.M.C. Asser Institute, CLEER, and University of Leiden’s PhD workshop on the legal implications of the EU’s geopolitical awakening, organised by Narin Idriz and Eva Kassoti (T.M.C. Asser Institute) and Joris Larik (Leiden University). You can download the full programme here |
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| EU Global Strategy |
More than a decade after the 2003 European Security Strategy, the world has changed dramatically. And we have changed as well. For this reason EEAS has launched a period of strategic reflection on the EU’s way ahead in the world. It will lead to an EU Global Strategy on Foreign and Security Policy. This process gives us the opportunity to forge a stronger and more effective EU foreign policy and engage the public on debates about foreign policy.
In an era of strategic competition and complex security threats, conflicts and sources of instability are multiplying
in our neighbourhood and beyond. We are facing growing hybrid threats, cyber-attacks and foreign manipulation of information. Climate change is a growing threat-multiplier leading to further instability and crises. The high seas,
outer space and the digital sphere are increasingly central to our prosperity and wellbeing, yet the rules that
govern their access are increasingly contested.In a world that is becoming more challenging to European interests
and values, we need to unite and develop a
common European answer. The Strategic Compass:
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To implement the EU Global Strategy, decisive steps are being taken on Security and Defence. In November 2016, EU Foreign and Defence ministers decided on a new level of ambition and key steps to upgrade cooperation to ensure the Security of our Union in line with the Global Strategy (Council conclusions). These Conclusions were based on former HRVP Federica Mogherini's Implementation Plan on Security and Defence. This aims to improve the protection of the EU and its citizens, help governments jointly build military capacity, and develop better response to crises. Further actions to step up EU Security include the European Defence Action Plan, which proposes financial help for Member States for more efficient joint procurement and capability development, and steps to put into effect the EU-NATO Joint Declaration. |
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| The European External Action Service
as the indispensable support for a geopolitical EU |
The rivalry of today’s world should induce the EU to act as a cohesive force. Yet, EU countries are still struggling to focus on the common interest. The 10th anniversary of the European External Action Service thus constitutes an opportune moment to reconsider its contribution to EU foreign policy. The rivalry and contestation of today’s world should be reason enough for the European Union to act as a cohesive force, if only to avoid being outmanoeuvred by major powers. Yet EU countries and institutions are still struggling to set aside their differences and focus on the common interest.
Despite its significant achievements, the Service still suffers from a lack of buy-in from member states and other parts of the EU administration. In this report, a task force has thus reappraised the EEAS’ actual and potential mission in the coming years, considering the dynamic ecosystem within which it functions. Distilling key lessons from the first decade of the Service’s operation, the report sets out 30 recommendations to address the identified shortcomings. It aims to assist the EEAS’ purpose of forging a distinctly European brand of diplomacy, by upgrading its operation to allow it more flexibility to think, propose and act, more agility to factor in a rapidly changing international landscape, and more determination to play a leading role. The Service could indeed make much more of its core assets. In doing so it would better serve the common interests of the European Union and truly fulfil its objectives in external action. |
| GEOPOLITICS and ECONOMICS in a DYNAMIC WORLD: implications for Europe |
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On behalf of Netherlands Institute of Foreign Relations and Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Professor Francois Heisbourg lectured 18 March 2011. Professor Heisbourg is chairman of International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and also active with the Geneva Center for Security Policy.
He's author of 'L'éppaisseur du monde'.
During the gathering Professor Heisbourg gave his vision on geopolitical consequences of the economic crisis, especially for Europe, and on transformations in balance of powers in the world. His visit took place just after UN Security Council had adopted the no-fly resolution concerning Libya. Heisbourg told he had great worries about this, because on international level there was no plan for the future of Libya, starting from the characteristic features of that country. Libya is a hotchpotch of pieces of the Ottoman empire; the east of the country ever belonged to Egypt, the west to Tunesia. If unity of the country cannot be secured, dramatic consequences can occur in the rest of the Arabic world, that for an important part neither exist of unities with nationalistic feelings. Asked for the motives of Russia and China to speak out no veto in the UNSC, Heisbourg meant that these superpowers would not hamper that 'the West' would bring a next hornets' nest about one's ears: 'never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake' (at the same time involved in 3 military conflicts in the world of Islam). |
Heisbourg referred also to the east of the Arabic world. There is remarkable less international attention for the reactionary violence of Saudi-Arabia in the regio of the Gulf. Riyaad is handling the 'Breznjewdoctrine of limited sovereignty in his environment: no change without permission. The US seems not to be happy with that and in Iran too have to imagine the future along his borders in another way. This can have serious consequences between Saudi-Arabia and Iran. Heisbourg compared the present unrest in the Arabic world with turmoil in Europe in 1848. In the beginning of 1848 in many countries there was an uprise with much youthful élan, but in December these movements of revolution became for the greater part a failure concerning their political objectives. |
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| The Quest for European Leadership |
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During CEPS Annual Conference 2009 'The Quest for European Leadership'. On
5 March, discussions were held on:
High level talks and actions concerning developments in
present set backs. Below some brief notes in relation to the theme of the conference. Leadership is about winning (not artificially) and participating. However, methods to manage the question seems inadequate and an obstacle of producing progress in ratifying. There was attitude for a European referendum and not a referendum by national states. It would be a better democratic and institutional solution for the citizens. |
Good expectations: Ireland will ratify the Lisbon Treaty. On legal level, fully ratify is feasible. Constitutional level is proved to be out of reach. Other circumstances, which see to leadership are the next EU-US relations, deep financial and economic crisis and political deficit of Europe. The deficit is a cause of the problem: more political Europe is a solution. The EC is totally immobilized and does everything to avoid conflicts with memberstates. The Lisbon Treaty aimed to strengthen Europe concerning citizens, economical, political, on social and formal scopes and on environment.
Minister Dick Roche said everything we do in relation to the European Union is, and needs to be underpinned by the support of our citizens. The support of Europe’s citizens is expressed through their governments and the representatives they elect to the European Parliament. |
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'The EU is Unique Because it is Founded on Democracy'
That is what gives the EU its unique democratic legitimacy. No other international entity can compare with the EU in the depth of its democratic underpinning. No International Treaty has ever been produced in a more democratic way than the Constitutional Treaty and its successor the Lisbon Treaty. Concerning the left role of the market it was said that last few months national approaches does not work and set backs in improvements of financial markets raised. Nobody (bankers, politicians and others) asked oneself the question: 'why took the bubble so long?' and nobody did said 'it cannot go on longer, stop!' In front now is short term thinking to handle the present by lending more and be precocious and long term thinking on better regulations. The measures that have been put in place can be seen as a case of 'very little Europe and very many national reactions'. |
| The need to strengthen the EU as an effective actor in the international arena |
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| SESSIONS:
I. Europe's Role in the World Should the European neighbourhood policy become a fully-fledged tool? How high should the EU sets its level of ambition in terms of defence capabilities? How to strike the right balance between hard and soft power, and is it desirable and (if so) possible to speak with a single voice? II. Internal Challenges How to sustain the welfare state in the face of current demographic trends? How to enhance economic growth in order to maintain and improve both the level of employment and living standards? And given the likehood that large waves of immigrants will continue to make their way onto EU territory, how best to integrate their diverse cultures and religions into relatively homogeneous societies? Tackling the issue of energy supply and its trades-off with environmental sustainability, what policy options should the EU be exploring? |
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| III. Researching Europe: Brainstorming CEPS Priorities
Speakers: Onno Ruding, Olli Rehn, Robert Cooper, Pilar del Castillo Vera, Jean Marie Guéhenno, Bronislaw Geremek († 13 July 2008), Wolfgang Wessels, Laurens Jan Brinkhorst and Nick Butler The world is organising.
Persuasiveness, great leadership and aspiration are of enormous relevance in the changing global order with upcoming markets. Other main points are demography, migration and energy. Another aspect is the presence deficit of technicians, that can become a problem in the future. 'We should not fall into the trap of selfdestruction or self fulfilling prophecy. Volatility, dynamics, flexibility and including everything should be course of things. A very triggering, inspiring and useful brainstorming session. |
| The European Way of Life |
As part of the Presidency in 2006, more than 300 participants from politics, science, acadamics, art, media, diplomacy and clergy got together with the European Commission to talk about the role and future of Europe, her objects in view and chances and to give new ideas, opinions, suggestions and proposals as part of a new sound during the international conference "THE SOUND OF EUROPE". Participants were also enabled to discuss about the future of Europe during working lunch sessions. One of the working lunches was called 'The European Way of Life'. Here are the notes:
Is it a model for the world of the future?: Following the introduction of the topic by Paolo Bulgari and his definition of the European Way of Life as the ability of European citizens to count on the welfare state, to rely on democracy, to live in a healthy and safe environment and to practice solidarity, a heated debate amongst the 24 participants of the working group about the existence of this European Way of Life and its possible continuance occurred. The threat to the European Way of Life was perceived as coming from both inside and outside the European Union. From an economic perspective, the outward movement of capital and the loss of working places due to the inflexibility of the labour market to countries like India and China was mentioned; from a cultural perspective, the loss of solidarity amongst Europeans generally and the European nations in particular and the integration of immigrants was mentioned. In terms of remedies, the number of suggestions reflected the number of participants. Agreement was only reached on the essence of educational reform, the change of the labour market and the reform of the welfare state to facilitate the European Way of Life. Borders, Security and Identity Despite Blurred Frontiers: The complex issues of identity, borders and security were the main topics of discussion at table number five. The creation of a multifaceted identity is problematic, but a common occurrence in the 21 st century. Its impact has created a new concept of security, and this has affected our idea of borders. This creation of identity and questioning of borders and security has created a crisis amongst individuals which has resulted in a unified fear of "the other." All three topics were put in the context of Turkey and its negotiations to join the EU. The problems that both the EU and Turkey face are history, internal structures of the EU and the lack of communication between the elites and the public. In order for European ideas to have an impact on the global stage, Europeans need to come to terms with the creation of a complex identity, its pressures and how this changes their view about security and borders. |